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Palm Bay, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Palm Bay FL
National Weather Service Forecast for: Palm Bay FL
Issued by: National Weather Service Melbourne, FL
Updated: 6:14 am EDT Aug 10, 2025
 
Today

Today: A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 103. South southeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Chance
T-storms then
T-storms
Likely
Tonight

Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers between 11pm and midnight.  Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 75. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
T-storms
Likely then
Partly Cloudy
Monday

Monday: A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am.  Sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 105. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
T-storms
Likely
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers between 11pm and 2am.  Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Southeast wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
T-storms
Likely then
Slight Chance
Showers
Tuesday

Tuesday: A chance of showers between 8am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Sunny, with a high near 93. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Chance
T-storms

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 76. East southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Mostly Clear

Wednesday

Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm.  Sunny, with a high near 93. Light and variable wind becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Chance
T-storms

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.  Mostly clear, with a low around 76. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Chance
T-storms then
Mostly Clear
Thursday

Thursday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming east southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Chance
T-storms
Hi 91 °F Lo 75 °F Hi 92 °F Lo 77 °F Hi 93 °F Lo 76 °F Hi 93 °F Lo 76 °F Hi 94 °F

 

Today
 
A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am. Increasing clouds, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 103. South southeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tonight
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers between 11pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 75. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
 
A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 105. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers between 11pm and 2am. Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
 
A chance of showers between 8am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 93. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 76. East southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 93. Light and variable wind becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 76. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Thursday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming east southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Friday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Light and variable wind becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 77. East southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the morning.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Palm Bay FL.

Weather Forecast Discussion
441
FXUS62 KMLB 100626
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
226 AM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 226 AM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025

- High Risk of life-threatening rip currents continues through
  tonight, perhaps lingering into early next week

- Elevated rain chances through today, returning closer to normal
  by the early to the middle part of the upcoming week

- Hotter conditions resume, especially by mid week, with heat
  index values approaching 102 to 107 degrees

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 226 AM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025

Current-Tonight...The weak pressure gradient remains in place with
light SSE winds early this morning. Warm and humid conditions
continue with widely scattered showers and isolated lightning storms
across the local coastal waters. This coverage may be increasing
from the southern waters northward ahead of daybreak this morning
as shown by trends on radar imagery. Steering flow remains out of
the SSE/S, which will take some of this activity across the
Treasure Coast and potentially the Brevard coast early in the
period. To go along with unseasonably deep moisture (PWATs > 2"),
a disturbance aloft across the south-central FL peninsula will
slowly push across the coverage warning area during the day and
exit westward this evening. Main convective impacts early this
morning will be locally heavy downpours, brief gusty winds, and
occasional lightning strikes.

A continued onshore (SE/SSE) wind component will allow for a diffuse
sea breeze boundary to push well inland, again, later today.
Steering flow will remain out of the SSE at 5-10 mph. Some locations
locally could realize 2-4 inch rainfall amounts due to the slow-
moving nature, as well as for any multiple rounds received.
Additional heavy rainfall could also exacerbate flooding potential
for areas that have recently seen multiple heavy downpours in recent
days. Additional convective impacts this afternoon and early evening
will be frequent lightning strikes and gusty winds locally 40-45 mph.

Max temps today in the U80s to around 90F at the coast and near 90F
with a few L90s into the interior. Peak heat indices will still run
99-105F, though clouds/rainfall will continue to keep these values
tempered. Conditions humid, again, tonight with lows in the 70s.

Mon-Tue...The pgrad remains generally weak and light onshore
(ESE/SE) flow will continue thru the period. PWATs (1.80-2.00")
will be a little lower than recent days. Aloft, high pressure
ridging over the western Atlc will nose into central FL on Mon
with rising mid-level heights and temps here remaining near -5C
to -6C. It appears there will be less forcing with the high
pushing into the area and we keep PoPs a little lower than recent
days, 50-60pct each day. The ECSB will still develop and push
inland each day with light SERLY steering flow. There will still
be a small threat overnight/early morning for occasional showers
and isolated storms to scrape the coast.

The primary concern remains the threat for locally heavy rainfall of
1-3 inches each day from slow-moving or repeated rounds of heavier
showers and storms. This will cause mostly minor flooding issues,
but may lead to isolated instances of more substantial flooding of
roadways and poor drainage areas across any locations that see heavy
rainfall over repeated days. Still cannot rule out a couple strong
storms with threats of frequent lightning strikes and gusty winds.

Max temps begin to creep upward with L90s and a few M90s within
reach across the interior on Mon and perhaps a degree warmer into
Tue. Peak afternoon heat indices still forecast 98-105F each
afternoon ahead of developing showers/storms. Overnight lows
consistent and generally in the 70s.

Wed-Sat...The general weak pressure pattern continues across the
region with light, mostly onshore flow, which could veer offshore
each overnight and early morning. Fairly deep moisture continues
with PWATs 1.80-2.00 inches, possibly increasing again well in
excess of 2 inches areawide by Fri/Sat. Aloft, mid-level ridging
centers across the peninsula on Wed, further retrograding into
the ERN Gulf Wed night/Thu, then focusing towards the N/NW Gulf
late in the period.

Mid-level temps a bit warmer at -4.5C to -5.5C on average into late
week. Generally keep 40-50pct on Wed, then 50-60pct Thu-Sat, but
there could be some argument for slightly lower PoPs these days.

Max temps forecast continue in the L-M90s each day, with peak heat
indices generally 102-107F, though could have some isolated higher
values which we will have to monitor. Still warm/humid at night with
lows in the 70s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 226 AM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025

Thru Thu...A small, but persistent (ENE/NE) long period swell
continues today and into next week. A weak frontal boundary will
continue to lie quasi-stationary across north-central FL through
at least today. Winds are forecast to be out of the SSE/SE today
10-15 kts and a bit more ESE/SE into Mon-Wed. Seas forecast to
remain around 2-3 ft through much of the period, but may build to
4 ft well offshore into Mon. Winds and seas locally higher invof
stronger showers and lightning storms. Above normal coverage of
showers and storms for one more day, then rain chances begin to
trend closer to normal early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 145 AM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025

VFR conditions outside of convection through the TAF period.
Scattered showers and storms are ongoing across the Atlantic, with
some of this activity skirting the coast. Have maintained VCSH
along coastal sites through the overnight and into Sunday morning
to account for this convection. High coverage of showers and
storms is once again forecast tomorrow with VCTS after 15Z along
the coast and after 17Z across the interior. Have not included
TEMPOs for TSRA for Sunday afternoon at this time, but will likely
add TEMPOs during future TAF packages as confidence in timing
increase. Light and variable winds overnight will become southeast
and increase to 8-12 KT by mid-morning before becoming light once
again Sunday evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  90  76  90  77 /  70  40  50  20
MCO  91  75  92  76 /  80  40  60  20
MLB  90  77  91  78 /  70  30  50  20
VRB  90  75  92  76 /  60  30  40  20
LEE  90  76  92  77 /  80  50  50  20
SFB  91  76  92  77 /  70  40  60  20
ORL  91  76  93  77 /  70  40  60  20
FPR  90  74  92  75 /  60  30  50  20

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Sedlock
AVIATION...Watson
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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